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4 Dividend REITs UBS Says Could Shine This Earnings Season
Dividend investors looking for stable income and potential share-price gains may want to keep an eye on healthcare real estate investment trusts (REITs). According to UBS, the sector is entering earnings season with strong momentum, supported by rising occupancy rates, favourable demographic trends and limited new construction.
The investment bank expects senior housing and skilled nursing REITs to post solid quarterly results, driven by healthy operating fundamentals and continued acquisition activity. While the broader real estate sector continues to grapple with higher interest rates, healthcare REITs are benefiting from a powerful supply-and-demand imbalance that could support earnings growth for years.
Why healthcare REITs are outperforming
The biggest driver is demographics. As America's population ages, demand for senior housing, assisted living and skilled nursing facilities continues to increase. The oldest baby boomers are now entering their 80s, an age when many begin requiring specialised housing or healthcare services.
At the same time, developers have slowed construction. High financing costs, labour shortages and elevated building expenses have made many new projects financially unviable. With relatively few new facilities entering the market, existing properties are filling up faster.
According to data from the National Investment Center for Seniors Housing & Care (NIC), occupancy rates across senior housing communities have climbed to nearly 90%, while new construction remains near its lowest level in years. That combination gives operators greater pricing power, supporting higher rental income and stronger cash flow for property owners.
UBS analyst Michael Goldsmith believes these conditions should continue to benefit healthcare REITs well beyond the current earnings season.
UBS maintains a Buy rating on American Healthcare REIT (NYSE: AHR), citing acquisitions as a key growth driver.
The company owns a diversified portfolio of more than 300 healthcare properties, including senior housing communities, skilled nursing facilities and outpatient medical buildings.
Earlier this year, American Healthcare REIT raised roughly $700 million in equity to finance more than $1 billion in acquisition opportunities. UBS believes those investments should contribute meaningfully to future earnings while strengthening the company's portfolio.
The firm recently lifted its price target to $63, implying roughly 17% upside from recent trading levels. American Healthcare REIT currently offers a dividend yield of approximately 1.9%, while analysts expect steady growth in funds from operations (FFO), an important profitability measure for REITs.
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Another top pick is Welltower (NYSE: WELL), one of the largest healthcare REITs in North America with more than 2,500 senior housing and wellness properties.
UBS raised its price target to $271 per share, also suggesting about 17% upside. Analysts point to improving occupancy, a lower cost of capital and continued expansion of the company's operating platform as reasons for optimism.
Unlike many traditional REITs that rely primarily on rental income, Welltower has expanded its Seniors Housing Operating Portfolio (SHOP), allowing it to participate more directly in property operations and benefit from improving occupancy and higher resident fees.
Although its dividend yield is relatively modest at around 1.3%, the company has delivered impressive share-price performance, rising roughly 24% so far this year.
For investors seeking a higher dividend yield, CareTrust REIT (NYSE: CTRE) stands out.
The company owns nearly 600 healthcare properties across the United States and the United Kingdom, with exposure to skilled nursing facilities, senior housing and residential care homes.
UBS expects CareTrust to continue expanding through acquisitions while taking advantage of attractive investment opportunities across the healthcare sector. The firm's $48 price target implies approximately 17% upside, while the stock currently offers a dividend yield close to 3.9%.
Analysts believe CareTrust's disciplined acquisition strategy and expanding international presence could provide additional earnings growth in the coming years.
Income-focused investors may also find Omega Healthcare Investors (NYSE: OHI) appealing.
Omega owns more than 1,000 skilled nursing and assisted living facilities, making it one of the largest healthcare REITs in the industry. Its portfolio generates one of the sector's highest dividend yields, currently around 5.6%.
UBS maintained its $54 price target, representing roughly 11% upside from recent levels. While expected earnings growth is more modest than some competitors, Omega's consistent dividend payments continue to attract investors seeking dependable income.
What investors should watch
Although the long-term outlook remains positive, investors should remember that healthcare REITs still face several challenges. Rising interest rates increase borrowing costs and can pressure property valuations, while staffing shortages and higher labour expenses continue to affect many healthcare operators.
Nevertheless, the sector's fundamentals remain favourable. Strong occupancy, limited new supply and growing demand for senior care facilities provide a supportive backdrop for earnings growth. Continued acquisitions could further boost funds from operations, allowing companies to expand dividends over time.
For dividend investors, healthcare REITs offer an attractive combination of recurring income and exposure to a sector backed by long-term demographic trends. As second-quarter earnings approach, companies with strong balance sheets, disciplined acquisition strategies and growing cash flows may be among the standout performers in the REIT market.
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